Pending
Pending
SpaceX Fable/GPT-6-level model in 2–3 months
“I am cautiously optimistic that SpaceX will have a Fable/GPT-6 level model in 2 to 3 months”
Elon Musk promised More than 150 Falcon flights in 2025 by the end of 2025. It happened on time.
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“And next year, Falcon is aiming for >150 flights!”
— Elon Musk · Nov 27, 2024 · @elonmusk, 2024-11-27 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
Show ▾
What actually happened
Musk aimed for more than 150 Falcon flights in 2025. SpaceX flew 165 Falcon 9 orbital launches that year, a record. Space.com — SpaceX's 165 orbital flights in 2025 ↗
The Progression
Nov 27, 2024
The promise: “And next year, Falcon is aiming for >150 flights!” · @elonmusk, 2024-11-27 ↗
Dec 31, 2025
Delivered — on time. Musk aimed for more than 150 Falcon flights in 2025. SpaceX flew 165 Falcon 9 orbital launches that year, a record. Space.com — SpaceX's 165 orbital flights in 2025 ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
In November 2024 Elon Musk said Falcon was aiming for more than 150 flights the next year. SpaceX flew 165.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TWEET] @elonmusk, 2024-11-27
SpaceX’s record
Delivered
23
62% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
14
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Starship and SpaceX rocket predictions
- Starship orbital refueling: demo promised by end of 2026Pending
- How many Starships in 2026? Elon says ~10 morePending
- Starship ship catch by the tower: moved 2 times so farPending
- Starship reflight: first reused ship by Mar 31, 2027?Pending
- Starship daily flights: once a day by Aug 4, 2027?Pending
- Starship landing and reuse: promised 2023, moved 3 timesPending
- When will Starship carry humans? Elon says by end of 2027Pending
- Starship rapid reusability: full reflight by end of 2027?Pending
- SpaceX: 20 Starships to Mars in 2028? (still pending)Pending
- Starship hourly flights: Elon says within 2–3 yearsPending
- Starship launches per day: Elon says 30+ by end of 2030Pending
- SpaceX Louisiana: Elon's plan for 12+ Starship towersPending
Read next
Also SpaceX, resolves soonest
PendingAlso SpaceX, resolves soonest
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Pending
Pending
SpaceX completes ~10 more Starships in 2026
“roughly 10 more ships and about half that number of boosters this year”
← Dragon takes astronauts farther than anyone in 50 years, in 2024
Grokipedia v0.1 published in two weeks (Oct 2025) →
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