Missed
Missed
Sleep in your car, wake at your destination, in many US cities by end of 2025
“The acid test is, can you go to sleep in your car and wake up in your destination and I'm confident that wi…”
Pending
How many Teslas have FSD? Elon predicts millions autonomous by 2026, still pending
Elon Musk promised Millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of 2026 by the end of 2026. It hasn't happened yet, with 80 days left.
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“I predict that there will be millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of next year.”
— Elon Musk · Apr 22, 2025 · Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call, 2025-04-22 (transcript) ↗
The fine print
Full sweep 2026-10-11. Quote matched against the cited transcript/report.
The Progression
Apr 22, 2025
The promise: “I predict that there will be millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of next year.” · Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call, 2025-04-22 (transcript) ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 80 days left. Still waiting.
On Tesla's April 2025 earnings call Elon Musk predicted that millions of Teslas would be operating fully autonomously in the second half of 2026.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call, 2025-04-22 (transcript)
- [REPORT] Reuters, Apr 24 2025
Tesla’s record
Delivered
69
53% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
62
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Full Self-Driving predictions
- FSD v15: Elon promises a full rewrite by end of 2026Pending
- Unsupervised FSD release date: hundreds of thousands by 2026? still pendingPending
- Tesla Semi self-driving: Elon says by Mar 31, 2027Pending
- Talk to Grok in FSD within ~3 monthsMissed
- FSD in Europe: supervised approval promised by Feb 2026Delivered · Late
- Tesla cross-country self-driving: promised for 2017Partial
- FSD Unsupervised: TX and CA in 2025, partly deliveredPartial
- Tesla Banish: auto-parking after drop-off, partly deliveredPartial
- FSD update: the 'step-change' Elon promised for Sep 2025Delivered · Late
- FSD v14: Elon promised 10x the parameters by Sep 2025Missed
- Tesla unsupervised FSD: promised for owners by 2025, missedMissed
- Tesla self-delivery: cars that drive to owners, deliveredDelivered
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← Sleep in your car, wake at your destination, in many US cities by end of 2025
Unsupervised FSD for personal use by end of 2025 in certain areas →
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