Delivered
Delivered
Tesla delivers 1.8 million cars in 2023
“We continue to target 1.8 million vehicle deliveries this year, although we expect that Q3 production will …”
Elon Musk promised FSD better than a human driver by the end of 2023 by the end of 2023. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“I know I am the boy who cried FSD, but I think we will be better than human by the end of this year.”
— Elon Musk · Jul 19, 2023 · Tesla Q2 2023 earnings call, Jul 19 2023 (quoted by CNBC) ↗
What actually happened
Musk said FSD would be better than a human driver by end of 2023. FSD still required a supervising driver through 2024, when Tesla renamed it 'Full Self-Driving (Supervised)'; on the Q3 2024 call he put 'safer than human' at Q2 2025. Tesla Q3 2024 earnings call transcript ↗
The Progression
Jul 19, 2023
The promise: “I know I am the boy who cried FSD, but I think we will be better than human by the end of this year.” · Tesla Q2 2023 earnings call, Jul 19 2023 (quoted by CNBC) ↗
Dec 31, 2023
Deadline passed. Musk said FSD would be better than a human driver by end of 2023. FSD still required a supervising driver through 2024, when Tesla renamed it 'Full Self-Driving (Supervised)'; on the Q3 2024 call he put 'safer than human' at Q2 2025. Tesla Q3 2024 earnings call transcript ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 1,016 days past due. Never happened.
On Tesla's July 2023 earnings call Elon Musk called himself the boy who cried FSD, then said Full Self-Driving would be better than a human by the end of that year. A year later Tesla was still selling it as supervised.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q2 2023 earnings call, Jul 19 2023 (quoted by CNBC)
- [VIDEO] Tesla Q2 2023 Q&A webcast
Tesla’s record
Delivered
70
53% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
63
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Full Self-Driving predictions
- FSD v15: Elon promises a full rewrite by end of 2026Pending
- How many Teslas have FSD? Elon predicts millions autonomous by 2026, still pendingPending
- Unsupervised FSD release date: hundreds of thousands by 2026? still pendingPending
- Tesla Semi self-driving: Elon says by Mar 31, 2027Pending
- Talk to Grok in FSD within ~3 monthsMissed
- FSD in Europe: supervised approval promised by Feb 2026Delivered · Late
- Tesla cross-country self-driving: promised for 2017Partial
- FSD Unsupervised: TX and CA in 2025, partly deliveredPartial
- Tesla Banish: auto-parking after drop-off, partly deliveredPartial
- FSD update: the 'step-change' Elon promised for Sep 2025Delivered · Late
- FSD v14: Elon promised 10x the parameters by Sep 2025Missed
- Tesla unsupervised FSD: promised for owners by 2025, missedMissed
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