Pending
Pending
New Tesla Roadster demo postponed to October 15, 2026
“New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01”
goalposts: 2026-10-01 (New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01) → 2026-10-15 (postponed by 2 weeks / QT Tesla Oct 15) · moved 1×
Elon Musk promised A Tesla capable of full autonomy in about three years by Oct 14, 2018. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“From a technology standpoint, Tesla will have a car that can do full autonomy in about three years, maybe a bit sooner.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 14, 2015 · Autopilot 7.0 press call, Oct 14 2015 (Green Car Reports) ↗
What actually happened
Musk said in October 2015 that Tesla would have a car capable of full autonomy in about three years. By late 2018 Autopilot still needed constant driver supervision, and Tesla's FSD is still sold as supervised. Electrek Sep 2025 — Tesla changes the meaning of 'Full Self-Driving' ↗
The Progression
Oct 14, 2015
The promise: “From a technology standpoint, Tesla will have a car that can do full autonomy in about three years, maybe a bit sooner.” · Autopilot 7.0 press call, Oct 14 2015 (Green Car Reports) ↗
Oct 14, 2018
Deadline passed. Musk said in October 2015 that Tesla would have a car capable of full autonomy in about three years. By late 2018 Autopilot still needed constant driver supervision, and Tesla's FSD is still sold as supervised. Electrek Sep 2025 — Tesla changes the meaning of 'Full Self-Driving' ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 2,920 days past due. Never happened.
When Tesla launched Autopilot in October 2015, Elon Musk said that from a technology standpoint Tesla would have a car capable of full autonomy, point to point while you sleep, in about three years.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11Tesla’s record
Delivered
70
53% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
63
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Full Self-Driving predictions
- FSD v15: Elon promises a full rewrite by end of 2026Pending
- How many Teslas have FSD? Elon predicts millions autonomous by 2026, still pendingPending
- Unsupervised FSD release date: hundreds of thousands by 2026? still pendingPending
- Tesla Semi self-driving: Elon says by Mar 31, 2027Pending
- Talk to Grok in FSD within ~3 monthsMissed
- FSD in Europe: supervised approval promised by Feb 2026Delivered · Late
- Tesla cross-country self-driving: promised for 2017Partial
- FSD Unsupervised: TX and CA in 2025, partly deliveredPartial
- Tesla Banish: auto-parking after drop-off, partly deliveredPartial
- FSD update: the 'step-change' Elon promised for Sep 2025Delivered · Late
- FSD v14: Elon promised 10x the parameters by Sep 2025Missed
- Tesla unsupervised FSD: promised for owners by 2025, missedMissed
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← Highway on-ramp to exit without touching any controls within a year (2014)
Complete autonomy in approximately two years (Dec 2015) →
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