AI illustration: Model X volume production in Q2 2015
TeslaCars & Energy
Missed

Model X volume production in Q2 2015

“And of course it'll have a dual motor all-wheel drive, and we expect to start to reach volume production in the second quarter next year.”
— Elon Musk · Jun 3, 2014 · Tesla Motors 2014 Annual Shareholder Meeting, June 3 2014 (investary0 recording, part 1) ↗
Video: Tesla Motors 2014 Annual Shareholder Meeting, June 3 2014 (investary0 recording, part 1)
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — TESLA MOTORS 2014 ANNUAL SHAREHOLDER MEETING, JUNE 3 2014 (INVESTARY0 RECORDING, PART 1)
What actually happened

Q2 2015 passed with zero Model X production. First deliveries were a six-car ceremony at the end of September 2015, and Tesla's own Q4 2015 numbers showed just 507 Model X built and 208 delivered in the entire quarter — volume production only arrived in 2016 after months of falcon-wing-door and seat-supplier problems. Electrek — Tesla Q4 2015 deliveries: 507 Model X produced, 208 delivered ↗

The Progression

Jun 3, 2014
The promise: “And of course it'll have a dual motor all-wheel drive, and we expect to start to reach volume production in the second quarter next year.” · Tesla Motors 2014 Annual Shareholder Meeting, June 3 2014 (investary0 recording, part 1) ↗
Jun 30, 2015
Deadline passed. Q2 2015 passed with zero Model X production. First deliveries were a six-car ceremony at the end of September 2015, and Tesla's own Q4 2015 numbers showed just 507 Model X built and 208 delivered in the entire quarter — volume production only arrived in 2016 after months of falcon-wing-door and seat-supplier problems. Electrek — Tesla Q4 2015 deliveries: 507 Model X produced, 208 delivered ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 0.5 years late. Never happened.

At the June 2014 shareholder meeting — with the Model X already a year behind its original schedule — Musk re-promised volume production for the second quarter of 2015. The quarter came and went with no cars; Tesla built 507 Model X in Q4 2015 and didn't reach real volume until 2016. A restatement of the 2012 Model X timeline, tracked separately by design.

Win the argument. Share the receipt.
The post comes pre-loaded with his quote, the clock, and the share card — one tap and it's settled.
Post the receipt

Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-06-12

More from the feed

← Model S deliveries start no later than July 2012 80-90% odds a Falcon 9 lands and reflies within a year (2014) →
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.