| 2026-10-26 | Starlink Mobile's US carrier network is built out in 2 or 3 years | 2029-10-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X, Oct 26 2026 |
| 2026-10-21 | EU-wide FSD approval by the end of Q1 2027 | 2027-03-31 | Pending | Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-21 | Tesla makes 5 million vehicles a year by about 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-21 | Tesla shows Optimus doing unscripted tasks on video within a month or two | 2026-12-21 | Pending | Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | SpaceX brings about 13 GW of AI compute online by the end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | SpaceX brings about 200,000 GB300s online every month for the rest of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | SpaceX has a 440,000 Vera Rubin training cluster online by the end of Q2 2027 | 2027-06-30 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | SpaceX reaches $500 billion to $1 trillion in annual recurring revenue by the end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | Starlink has about 100 times today's bandwidth within about three years | 2029-10-20 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-20 | Grok Bot reaches wide enterprise deployment within a few weeks | 2026-11-17 | Pending | SpaceX Q3 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-10-19 | Elon gives one of his SpaceX shares to every kid in America in 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 19 2026 |
| 2026-10-17 | US economic output grows more than 50% by 2030 thanks to AI | 2030-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 17 2026 |
| 2026-10-16 | Memory chip shortage lasts through 2027, may ease in 2028 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 16 2026 |
| 2026-10-14 | China will be making a lot of RAM in 2028 | 2028-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 14 2026 |
| 2026-10-14 | SpaceX valuation exceeds $100 trillion within 10 years | 2036-10-14 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 14 2026 |
| 2026-10-13 | AI lets solo devs ship studio-quality games by 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 14 2026 |
| 2026-10-10 | Starship Flight 15 launches a little before Thanksgiving 2026 | 2026-11-25 | Pending | Elon Musk: What Comes Next for… |
| 2026-10-02 | SpaceX ~90% commercial revenue in 2026; Q4 government share under 5% | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Oct 2 2026 ~1:16… |
| 2026-09-29 | Starship reaches a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence in 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk, Jensen Huang and Tom… |
| 2026-09-27 | Starship hourly flights in 2–3 years | 2029-09-27 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Sep 27 2026… |
| 2026-09-25 | Cybercab operating commercially in California by mid-2027 | 2027-06-30 | Pending | Interview with CCTV (September… |
| 2026-09-24 | SpaceX Fable/GPT-6-level model in 2–3 months | 2026-12-24 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Sep 24 2026… |
| 2026-09-24 | Colossus +220k GB300 fully operational next week | 2026-10-04 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Sep 24 2026… |
| 2026-09-22 | AI will beat all fields by end of 2027 or 2028 latest | 2028-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Sep 22 2026… |
| 2026-09-21 | Starship to orbit with operational Starlink V3 sats in 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Delivered | @elonmusk on X, Sep 21 2026… |
| 2026-09-18 | AI roughly doubles US GDP growth next year to ~4% | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X |
| 2026-09-15 | Next Starship flight on September 22, 2026 | 2026-09-22 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Sep 15 2026… |
| 2026-09-15 | Starlink V3 constellation starts deploying this month (by Sep 30, 2026) | 2026-09-30 | Delivered | @elonmusk on X, Sep 15 2026… |
| 2026-09-15 | TeraFab R&D line makes something useful by end of 2027 | 2028-09-30 | Pending | All-In Summit interview, Elon… |
| 2026-09-13 | Grok 4.8 finishes training this week (by Sep 20, 2026) | 2026-09-20 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Sep 13 2026… |
| 2026-09-09 | AI+robots more than double the global economy in under 10 years | 2036-09-08 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Sep 9 2026… |
| 2026-09-03 | Over 30k high-paying Tesla jobs in Austin by 2028 | 2028-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Sep 3 2026… |
| 2026-09-01 | Well over a billion humanoid robots within 10 years | 2036-09-01 | Pending | ANI News livestream — Elon Musk… |
| 2026-09-01 | Grok 4.7 needs a few more days (by Sep 16, 2026) | 2026-09-16 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Sep 1 2026… |
| 2026-08-31 | AI does any digital work at superhuman level by end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 31 2026 |
| 2026-08-29 | In-house SpaceX turbine casting pulls nat-gas turbines forward by up to 18 months | 2028-02-29 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 29 2026 |
| 2026-08-29 | ~15GW of AI compute produced in 2027 cannot be turned on in 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 29 2026 |
| 2026-08-27 | SpaceX reaches ~$3.5 trillion annual revenue around 2033 | 2033-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 27 2026 |
| 2026-08-25 | Starbase Louisiana: 12+ launch towers, 30+ Starship flights a day | 2030-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 25 2026 |
| 2026-08-24 | Space-optimized Vera Rubin NVL72 launches to orbit in Q4 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 24 2026 |
| 2026-08-21 | 30+ Starship launches per day in 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X, Aug 21 2026 |
| 2026-08-11 | SpaceX AI revenue tops all its other revenue in September 2026 | 2026-09-30 | Delivered · Late | SpaceX Company Update (August 11… |
| 2026-08-07 | Terafab will be 50× the size of the Pentagon when complete | — | Pending | Elon Musk on X (Aug 7 2026) |
| 2026-08-04 | Starship flies at least once a day within a year | 2027-08-04 | Pending | SpaceX Q2 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-08-04 | Starship safe enough to fly people by end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Q2 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-08-04 | SpaceX reaches $100 billion-plus ARR in December 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Q2 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-08-04 | About 1,000 Starlink V3 satellites in orbit around Q2 2027 | 2027-06-30 | Pending | SpaceX Q2 2026 Earnings Call… |
| 2026-07-30 | Grok 4.6 comes out in a week (by Aug 6, 2026) | 2026-08-06 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on X (Jul 30 2026) |
| 2026-07-23 | AI robot singularity is 10 years away | 2036-07-23 | Pending | The Economist — Elon Musk… |
| 2026-07-23 | Money won't matter by 2036 | 2036-12-31 | Pending | The Economist — Elon Musk… |
| 2026-07-22 | Self-driving working on the Tesla Semi by end of 2026 or early 2027 | 2027-03-31 | Pending | Tesla Q2 2026 Financial Results… |
| 2026-07-08 | Grok 4.5 released to the public on July 9, 2026 | 2026-07-09 | Delivered | Elon Musk on X (Jul 8 2026) |
| 2026-07-08 | First people on the Moon in less than 5 years | 2031-12-31 | Pending | Sean Hannity Show interview, Gov.… |
| 2026-06-29 | Massive Grok gains in ~3 months from C/C++ stack rewrite | 2026-09-30 | Missed | Elon Musk on X, Jun 29 2026… |
| 2026-06-28 | A new from-scratch AI model released every month for the rest of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X (@elonmusk), June… |
| 2026-06-23 | Starlink comes to American Airlines by 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-06-18 | Talk to Grok in FSD within ~3 months | 2026-09-30 | Missed | Elon Musk on X, June 18 2026… |
| 2026-06-17 | A legion of Optimus robots will form the first Von Neumann probe | — | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-06-16 | AI reaches Stockfish-level coding and general computer use | 2028-03-01 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-06-14 | SpaceX reaches ~$1 trillion annual revenue in 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X, Jun 14 2026 — 'I… |
| 2026-06-13 | 5× more satellites than the rest of the world within ~5 years | 2031-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-06-10 | 1 million tons to orbit possible within ~5 years | 2031-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-06-08 | 1 gigawatt/year of space-based AI compute by end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Technical Talk on AI… |
| 2026-05-25 | xAI open-sources the 0.5T Grok model by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-05-19 | At least 100 million humanoid robots within 5 years | 2031-05-19 | Pending | Forbes — Elon Musk On The Next… |
| 2026-05-19 | Global economy doubles in 5–7 years | 2033-05-19 | Pending | Forbes — Elon Musk On The Next… |
| 2026-05-18 | SpaceX completes ~10 more Starships in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-05-18 | AI drives 90% of all distance driven within about 10 years (by 2036) | 2036-05-31 | Pending | Samson International Smart… |
| 2026-04-22 | Robotaxi operating in a dozen or so states by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Q1 2026 earnings call quotes… |
| 2026-04-22 | FSD v15 complete software overhaul by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Q1 2026 earnings call quotes… |
| 2026-04-22 | Optimus V3 production starts late July/August 2026 | 2026-08-31 | Delivered · Late | Q1 2026 earnings call quotes… |
| 2026-04-22 | Second Optimus factory at Giga Texas starts production around summer 2027 | 2027-09-22 | Pending | Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-04-22 | Megapack 3 production starts in Houston later in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call… |
| 2026-03-21 | Terafab: AI5 small-batch 2026, volume 2027, a terawatt of compute/year | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X, Mar 21 2026… |
| 2026-03-14 | xAI catches up to all AI leaders in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-03-13 | Economy 10x bigger in 10 years | 2036-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk at the 2026 Abundance… |
| 2026-03-07 | First half of Cortex active by April 2026 | 2026-04-30 | Delivered | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-02-21 | Starship's next flight (V3 debut) | 2025-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-02-17 | Grok 4.2 an order of magnitude better than Grok 4 | 2026-03-31 | Partial | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-02-09 | Security-test and open-source all of X Chat | 2026-06-30 | Missed | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-01-28 | Model S and X production ends next quarter (Q2 2026) | 2026-06-30 | Delivered | Tesla Q4 2025 Earnings Call… |
| 2026-01-28 | Optimus V3 unveiled within a few months (mid-2026) | 2026-07-31 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2025 earnings call… |
| 2026-01-28 | Next-gen Neuralink implant (3X capability) ready by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-01-22 | Selling Optimus robots to the public by end of 2027 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Conversation with Elon Musk |… |
| 2026-01-08 | Major Grok Code upgrade that one-shots complex tasks | 2026-02-28 | Partial | @elonmusk on X |
| 2026-01-06 | AGI will be achieved in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Moonshots podcast #220 transcript… |
| 2026-01-06 | AI exceeds intelligence of all humans combined by 2030 | 2031-07-23 | Pending | Moonshots podcast #220 transcript… |
| 2026-01-06 | Optimus a better surgeon than the best humans in 3 years (by 2029) | 2029-01-06 | Pending | Moonshots #220 — Diamandis asks… |
| 2026-01-06 | Tesla Cortex 2: half a gigawatt, operational by mid-2026 | 2026-07-31 | Partial | Moonshots #220 with Peter… |
| 2026-01-02 | Grokipedia far exceeds Wikipedia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-12-31 | Neuralink high-volume production and automated surgery in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X (verified via… |
| 2025-12-24 | US double-digit growth in 12-18 months, triple-digit in ~5 years | 2030-12-24 | Pending | Musk X post on… |
| 2025-12-10 | Starlink V3 (20kW) launched at scale by Q4 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-12-09 | Grok 4.20 in ~3 weeks, Grok 5 in a few months | 2025-12-31 | Partial | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-12-07 | Orbital satellites become lowest-cost AI compute | 2029-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on orbital AI… |
| 2025-12-05 | Open-source the entire X codebase | 2026-01-31 | Partial | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-11-30 | Working will be optional in less than 20 years | 2045-12-31 | Pending | People by WTF Ep. 16 — Elon Musk… |
| 2025-11-30 | US output outgrows money supply in ~3 years, then deflation | 2028-12-31 | Pending | People by WTF Ep. 16 — Elon Musk… |
| 2025-11-13 | X Money launches soon | 2024-06-30 | Delivered · Late | Musk X post on comms stack / X… |
| 2025-11-13 | X becomes the everything app | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on comms stack / X… |
| 2025-11-04 | AI5 chip production 2026-2027 | 2027-04-30 | Pending | Elon Musk on X, Nov 4 2025 (AI5… |
| 2025-10-31 | Neuralink patients beat humans at fast-reaction games soon | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on Neuralink gaming… |
| 2025-10-22 | Robotaxi in 8–10 metro areas by end of 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call, Oct… |
| 2025-10-10 | Banish feature (auto-parking after dropoff) in near future | 2025-12-31 | Partial | Elon Musk on X, ~Oct 10 2025… |
| 2025-10-06 | Grok makes a watchable movie by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on Grok movies, Oct 6… |
| 2025-10-06 | Great AI-generated game released by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on xAI game studio… |
| 2025-10-04 | Grokipedia v0.1 published in two weeks (Oct 2025) | 2025-10-18 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2025-10-04 |
| 2025-09-22 | SpaceX delivers >95% of Earth's payload to orbit in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-09-19 | X algorithm 'purely AI' by November 2025 | 2025-11-30 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-09-10 | Phones supporting Starlink's new spectrum ship in ~2 years | 2027-09-30 | Pending | Elon Musk at the All-In Summit… |
| 2025-09-04 | Blindsight restores limited sight to the blind in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on Blindsight, Sep 4… |
| 2025-09-01 | 80% of Tesla value will be Optimus | 2035-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk on X (reply to… |
| 2025-08-27 | Starship V3 built & tested by end of 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-08-23 | Grok 3 open-sourced in about 6 months | 2026-02-28 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Aug 23 2025 |
| 2025-08-20 | New Model Y variant enters US production by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Delivered | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-08-13 | Grok Imagine V2 video step-change by end of 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-08-08 | FSD update: step-change for rare conditions | 2025-09-30 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-08-07 | Grok 5 released before end of 2025 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on Grok 5, Aug 7 2025 |
| 2025-08-06 | New FSD model with 10x parameters (2025) | 2025-09-30 | Missed | Elon Musk on X, Aug 6 2025 |
| 2025-07-23 | Robotaxis in half of US population by end of 2025 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Q2 2025 earnings call… |
| 2025-07-14 | 'Most epic demo ever' by end of 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Jul 13 2025 (US… |
| 2025-07-09 | Grok discovers useful new technologies no later than 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | xAI Grok 4 launch livestream (Jul… |
| 2025-06-11 | Cars deliver themselves from factory | 2025-06-28 | Delivered | Elon Musk on X, June 10 2025 |
| 2025-06-05 | Bring Dojo 2 online in 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Cancelled | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-06-03 | SpaceX space revenue exceeds NASA's entire budget in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-05-29 | First autonomous factory-to-customer delivery | 2025-06-30 | Delivered | @elonmusk on X |
| 2025-05-20 | Hundreds of thousands of self-driving Teslas in the US by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Pending | CNBC interview with David Faber… |
| 2025-05-20 | Around 1,000 Tesla robotaxis in Austin within a few months of launch | 2025-12-31 | Missed | CNBC Interview with David Faber… |
| 2025-04-29 | Grok 3.5 early beta next week (May 2025) | 2025-05-06 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Apr 29 2025 |
| 2025-04-03 | Superhuman abilities via Neuralink | 2035-12-31 | Pending | Tesla All-Hands | Q1 2025… |
| 2025-03-30 | First Blindsight human implant later in 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | America PAC Town Hall (March 30… |
| 2025-03-20 | Tesla passes 10 million cumulative vehicles in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla All-Hands (Q1 2025) (March… |
| 2025-03-17 | Half of all miles driven are autonomous in five years (by 2030) | 2030-03-17 | Pending | Verdict with Ted Cruz (March 17… |
| 2025-02-28 | Recover the Starship upper stage intact in 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Elon Musk on the Joe Rogan… |
| 2025-02-26 | DOGE achieves a $1 trillion deficit reduction in fiscal year 2026 | 2026-09-30 | Missed | President Trump's First Cabinet… |
| 2025-02-18 | SpaceX brings the two long-stay ISS astronauts home in about four weeks | 2025-03-18 | Delivered | Hannity: Trump and Musk joint… |
| 2025-01-29 | Optimus 10x production ramp each year | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Q4 2024 earnings call… |
| 2024-10-29 | At least 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040 | 2040-12-31 | Pending | FII8 transcript, Elon Musk Archive |
| 2024-10-23 | Tesla vehicle sales grow 20–30% in 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q3 2024 earnings call, Oct… |
| 2024-10-10 | Unsupervised FSD in Texas and California in 2025 (We, Robot) | 2025-12-31 | Missed | 'We, Robot | Tesla Cybercab… |
| 2024-10-10 | Cybercab in production before 2027 (We, Robot) | 2026-06-30 | Delivered | 'We, Robot | Tesla Cybercab… |
| 2024-10-01 | Optimus 1 million units/year in 5-6 years | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024… |
| 2024-08-22 | Thousands of Neuralink implants per year by 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Musk X post on Neuralink scaling… |
| 2024-08-03 | Tesla does over $100 billion in revenue in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Lex Fridman Podcast (August 3… |
| 2024-08-02 | Neuralink implants 10 people by end of 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Lex Fridman Podcast #438, Aug 2… |
| 2024-07-01 | Optimus high-volume external production 2026 | 2027-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call… |
| 2024-07-01 | Optimus performing factory tasks 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Partial | Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call… |
| 2024-07-01 | Grok 3 by end of 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on X, July 1 2024… |
| 2024-07-01 | Grok 2 comes out in August 2024 | 2024-08-31 | Delivered | Elon Musk on X, July 1 2024… |
| 2024-06-15 | Tesla Roadster flew at the October 2026 McGregor demo | 2027-12-31 | Delivered | Musk X post, Jun 15 2024 |
| 2024-06-13 | 1,000+ Optimus robots in Tesla factories by 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | 2024 Annual Shareholder Meeting… |
| 2024-06-13 | Tesla worth 10× today's most valuable company | 2035-12-31 | Pending | 2024 Annual Shareholder Meeting… |
| 2024-06-13 | Over 7 million Teslas by end of 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (June… |
| 2024-04-23 | Tesla sells more cars in 2024 than in 2023 | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q1 2024 earnings call… |
| 2024-04-05 | Tesla Robotaxi unveil on August 8, 2024 | 2024-08-08 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on X, April 5 2024… |
| 2024-04-04 | 80-90% odds the tower catches a Super Heavy booster in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered | Making Life Multiplanetary (April… |
| 2024-04-04 | Starship ship reused in 2025 | 2027-03-31 | Pending | Making Life Multiplanetary (April… |
| 2024-03-25 | Five or six more Starship flights in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Abundance360 Summit (March 25… |
| 2024-03-25 | Starships landing on the Moon within about three years (by March 2027) | 2027-03-31 | Pending | Abundance360 Summit (March 25… |
| 2024-03-18 | Starlink Mini launches later in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered | SpaceX Starship Update at… |
| 2024-03-18 | Starship pad turnaround under 24 hours by end of 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Missed | SpaceX Starship Update at… |
| 2024-03-18 | Falcon flies as many as ~150 times in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered · Late | SpaceX Starship Update at… |
| 2024-03-11 | xAI will open source Grok 'this week' (March 2024) | 2024-03-17 | Delivered | Elon Musk on X, March 11 2024… |
| 2024-02-28 | Roadster 0-60 in under 1 second | 2027-12-31 | Delivered | Musk tweet, Feb 28 2024 |
| 2024-02-09 | Dragon takes astronauts farther than anyone in 50 years, in 2024 | 2024-12-31 | Delivered | @elonmusk, 2024-02-09 |
| 2024-01-22 | Grok 1.5 out next month (February 2024) | 2024-02-29 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2024-01-22 |
| 2023-11-23 | FSD supervised safer than human drivers | 2025-12-31 | Disputed | Elon Musk on X, Nov 23 2023 |
| 2023-11-21 | Grok available to all X Premium+ subscribers next week (Nov 2023) | 2023-12-02 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2023-11-21 |
| 2023-11-12 | FSD v12 to customers in 'about 2 weeks' (Nov 2023) | 2023-11-26 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on X, November 12 2023… |
| 2023-10-05 | Starship upper stage caught toward end of 2024 | 2026-11-30 | Pending | International Astronautical… |
| 2023-10-01 | Cybertruck 250,000 units/year by 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q3 2023 Earnings Call… |
| 2023-08-04 | Tesla's LA diner ready later in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2023-08-04 |
| 2023-07-19 | Tesla delivers 1.8 million cars in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q2 2023 earnings call… |
| 2023-02-15 | Musk finds a new Twitter CEO around the end of 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Delivered | World Government Summit (February… |
| 2023-02-04 | Starship launch attempt next month (March 2023) | 2023-03-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2023-02-04 |
| 2023-02-03 | Creator ad revenue sharing 'starting today' (Feb 2023) | 2023-02-03 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on Twitter, February 3… |
| 2023-01-25 | A pretty difficult recession in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2022 earnings call… |
| 2023-01-13 | Twitter publishes its recommendation code by February 2023 | 2023-02-28 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2023-01-13 |
| 2022-12-21 | Twitter roughly cash-flow break-even in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Missed | Twitter Spaces: Twitter's… |
| 2022-12-12 | Twitter offers a no-ads subscription tier in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Delivered | @elonmusk, 2022-12-12 |
| 2022-11-30 | Quadriplegics control phones faster than able-bodied by 2025 | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Neuralink Show and Tell, Fall… |
| 2022-11-30 | Restore full body functionality | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Neuralink Show and Tell, Fall… |
| 2022-11-27 | Twitter tops a billion monthly users in 12–18 months | 2024-05-27 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Nov 27 2022 |
| 2022-10-21 | Recession lasts until spring 2024 | 2024-06-20 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Oct 21 2022 |
| 2022-09-30 | Optimus under $20000 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Tesla AI Day 2022 (official Tesla… |
| 2022-09-30 | FSD Beta rolled out worldwide by end of 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Missed | Tesla AI Day (September 30… |
| 2022-09-29 | Cybertruck can cross rivers, lakes, seas | 2023-11-30 | Missed | Musk tweet, Sep 29 2022 |
| 2022-08-26 | Starlink V2 direct-to-phone launching in 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on X, August 26 2022… |
| 2022-08-04 | Tesla exits 2022 at a 2-million-car annual run rate | 2022-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (August… |
| 2022-07-20 | Inflation declines toward the end of 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q2 2022 earnings call… |
| 2022-06-21 | Tesla headcount higher a year after the June 2022 salaried cut | 2023-06-21 | Delivered | Qatar Economic Forum (June 21… |
| 2022-04-07 | Optimus production ready by 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Missed | Tesla 'Cyber Rodeo' Giga Texas… |
| 2022-03-29 | FSD Beta in Europe this summer (2022) | 2022-09-22 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2022-03-29 |
| 2022-03-28 | SpaceX aims for 60 launches in 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered | @elonmusk, 2022-03-28 |
| 2022-02-10 | A Starship and Super Heavy every month by end of 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Missed | SpaceX Starship Update (February… |
| 2022-02-10 | Starship launch capability at Cape 39A and an ocean platform by end of 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Missed | SpaceX Starship Update (February… |
| 2022-02-10 | Starship orbital refilling demonstrated within two years (by early 2024) | 2026-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX Starship Update (February… |
| 2022-01-26 | New Tesla factory locations announced by end of 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q4 2021 earnings call… |
| 2021-10-07 | Model Y becomes the world's best-selling vehicle in 2023 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Shareholder Meeting… |
| 2021-08-19 | Optimus prototype by 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla AI Day 2021 (official Tesla… |
| 2021-08-19 | Dojo supercomputer operational in 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Partial | Tesla AI Day 2021 (official Tesla… |
| 2021-08-14 | First orbital Starship stack ready to fly in a few weeks (Aug 2021) | 2021-09-14 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2021-08-14 |
| 2021-07-26 | At least 50% Tesla growth in 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q2 2021 earnings call… |
| 2021-03-20 | FSD Beta V9 and the download button next month (April 2021) | 2021-04-30 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Mar 20 2021 |
| 2021-02-22 | Global Starlink coverage by end of 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Musk reply tweet on Starlink… |
| 2021-02-22 | Starlink speed doubles to ~300Mb/s in 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Feb 22 2021 |
| 2021-02-11 | Model S Plaid+ with ~500 miles of range in about a year | 2022-02-11 | Cancelled | The Joe Rogan Experience… |
| 2021-01-27 | Cybertruck volume production in 2022 | 2022-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q4 2020 Earnings Call… |
| 2021-01-27 | Giga Berlin and Giga Texas start production in 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q4 2020 earnings call… |
| 2020-12-20 | FSD subscription released early 2021 | 2021-03-31 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk on Twitter, December 20… |
| 2020-12-01 | Self-sustaining Mars city ASAP | 2050-12-31 | Pending | Axel Springer Award interview… |
| 2020-10-21 | FSD Beta wide release by end of 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q3 2020 earnings call… |
| 2020-10-02 | Tesla enters India in 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Oct 2 2020 |
| 2020-09-22 | 20 million cars per year by 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Musk tweet, Sep 28 2020 |
| 2020-09-22 | $25,000 fully autonomous Tesla in ~3 years (Battery Day) | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020… |
| 2020-09-22 | 4680 pilot plant at 10 GWh/year within a year (Battery Day) | 2021-09-22 | Partial | Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020… |
| 2020-09-22 | Tesla makes 3 TWh of batteries a year by 2030 | 2030-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Battery Day, Sep 22 2020… |
| 2020-09-22 | Tesla grows 30–40% in 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Battery Day (September 22… |
| 2020-05-18 | FSD price will keep increasing | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Elon Musk on X, May 18 2020 |
| 2020-04-29 | Model S gets a 400+ mile EPA range on retest | 2020-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q1 2020 Earnings Call… |
| 2020-03-19 | Close to zero new US COVID cases by end of April 2020 | 2020-04-30 | Missed | Elon Musk on Twitter, March 19… |
| 2020-01-29 | Tesla Battery Day probably in April 2020 | 2020-04-30 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2019 Earnings Call… |
| 2019-11-21 | Cybertruck starting at $39,900 | 2021-12-31 | Cancelled | Cybertruck Unveil, Nov 21 2019… |
| 2019-11-21 | Cybertruck bulletproof | 2023-11-30 | Delivered | Cybertruck Unveil, Nov 21 2019… |
| 2019-11-21 | Cybertruck shatterproof glass | 2019-11-21 | Missed | Cybertruck Unveil, Nov 21 2019… |
| 2019-11-08 | SpaceX building about a Raptor engine a day by 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2019-11-08 |
| 2019-10-23 | FSD ‘feature complete’ | 2020-06-30 | Partial | Tesla Q3 2019 earnings call… |
| 2019-09-28 | Starship reaches orbit | 2022-02-28 | Delivered · Late | SpaceX official 'Starship Update'… |
| 2019-09-28 | Starship fully reusable | 2027-12-31 | Pending | SpaceX 'Starship Update' (Mk1… |
| 2019-09-28 | Starship Mk1 flies to ~20 km in one to two months (2019) | 2019-11-28 | Missed | SpaceX Starship Update, Boca… |
| 2019-09-17 | Model S Plaid in production around Oct/Nov 2020 | 2020-11-30 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2019-09-17 |
| 2019-07-30 | 1,000 Solar Roofs a week by end of 2019 | 2021-04-29 | Cancelled | @elonmusk on X, Jul 29 2019 (US… |
| 2019-07-28 | Starship update presentation in 'two weeks or so' (July 2019) | 2019-08-11 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2019-07-28 |
| 2019-07-27 | Cuphead arrives in Tesla Arcade in August 2019 | 2019-08-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2019-07-27 |
| 2019-07-24 | Tesla back to profit in Q3 2019 | 2019-09-30 | Delivered | Tesla Q2 2019 earnings call… |
| 2019-07-21 | 2020 Hyperloop competition in a 10 km vacuum tunnel | 2020-12-31 | Missed | @elonmusk, 2019-07-21 |
| 2019-07-16 | First human Neuralink implant | 2021-05-07 | Delivered · Late | Neuralink Launch Event, Jul 16… |
| 2019-06-13 | Falcon Heavy launches at the end of June 2019 | 2019-06-30 | Delivered | E3 Coliseum (June 13, 2019)… |
| 2019-06-11 | Tesla pickup truck unveiled in summer 2019 | 2019-09-22 | Delivered · Late | Tesla 2019 Annual Shareholder… |
| 2019-05-22 | Las Vegas Convention Center tunnel finished by end of 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2019-05-22 |
| 2019-04-24 | Tesla insurance launches 'in about a month' (April 2019) | 2019-05-24 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q1 2019 earnings call… |
| 2019-04-22 | 1 million robotaxis on roads by 2020 | 2020-04-22 | Missed | Tesla Autonomy Day 2019 (official… |
| 2019-04-22 | Autonomous robotaxis in 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Autonomy Day 2019 (official… |
| 2019-04-22 | Cars with no steering wheel/pedals in 2 years (2021) | 2021-04-22 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Autonomy Day 2019 (official… |
| 2019-04-22 | HW3 sufficient for FSD | 2024-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Autonomy Day, Apr 22 2019… |
| 2019-04-22 | Robotaxi $30k/year income for owners | 2020-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Autonomy Day 2019 (official… |
| 2019-04-22 | Next Tesla self-driving chip (HW4) in about two years | 2021-04-22 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Autonomy Day, Apr 22 2019… |
| 2019-03-14 | Year of the solar roof 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Missed | Model Y Unveil, Mar 14 2019… |
| 2019-03-14 | $39,000 Standard Range Model Y in 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Model Y Unveiling (March… |
| 2019-02-20 | 500,000 cars in 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Musk tweet, Feb 19 2019 (the… |
| 2019-02-19 | Tesla makes 1.5 million cars in 2021 | 2021-12-31 | Missed | ARK Invest podcast with Elon Musk… |
| 2019-01-30 | Tesla profitable in Q1 2019 and all quarters going forward | 2019-03-31 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2018 earnings call, Jan… |
| 2019-01-30 | Tesla deliveries about 50% higher in 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q4 2018 earnings call… |
| 2019-01-07 | Shanghai Gigafactory: built by summer, cars by end of 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered | Elon Musk on Twitter, Jan 7 2019… |
| 2018-12-26 | Superchargers cover 100% of Europe in 2019, Ireland to Kiev | 2019-12-31 | Missed | @elonmusk, 2018-12-26 |
| 2018-11-01 | Advanced Summon ready in ~6 weeks (Nov 2018) | 2018-12-13 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, Nov 1 2018 |
| 2018-10-22 | First Boring tunnel opens Dec 10, free public rides next day | 2018-12-19 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Oct 22 2018 |
| 2018-09-17 | Starship hopper flights in 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered | SpaceX BFR Lunar Mission… |
| 2018-08-02 | Tesla picks a European Gigafactory site before end of 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q2 2018 Earnings Call… |
| 2018-08-01 | Tesla makes half a million to a million cars in 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Partial | Tesla Q2 2018 earnings call… |
| 2018-06-14 | Chicago O'Hare Loop running in 18-24 months (2018) | 2021-06-14 | Cancelled | Bloomberg News (official channel)… |
| 2018-06-10 | First full self-driving features in V9 (August 2018) | 2018-08-31 | Partial | Elon Musk on Twitter, June 10… |
| 2018-06-09 | Roadster SpaceX package with thrusters | 2027-12-31 | Delivered | Musk tweet, Jun 9 2018 (original… |
| 2018-06-05 | Model Y unveiled approximately March 2019 | 2019-03-31 | Delivered | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (June… |
| 2018-06-05 | Supercharger V3 in production around end of 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (June… |
| 2018-05-21 | $35,000 Model 3 ships 3–6 months after 5k/week | 2019-01-01 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk on X, May 21 2018 |
| 2018-04-13 | Tesla profitable & cash flow positive in Q3 and Q4 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Delivered | Elon Musk on Twitter, April 13… |
| 2018-03-11 | Starship short hop flights in the first half of 2019 | 2019-06-30 | Partial | SXSW (March 11, 2018), video… |
| 2018-02-06 | SpaceX recovers a fairing within six months (Feb 2018) | 2018-08-06 | Missed | Falcon Heavy Post-Launch Press… |
| 2017-12-01 | Falcon Heavy launches next month (January 2018) | 2013-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2017-12-01 |
| 2017-11-16 | Tesla Semi production in 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Semi & Roadster Unveil, Nov… |
| 2017-11-16 | Tesla Roadster enters production | 2028-12-31 | Pending | Tesla Semi & Roadster Unveil, Nov… |
| 2017-11-16 | Semi 500 mile range | 2022-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Semi & Roadster Unveil… |
| 2017-11-16 | Roadster 620 mile range | 2027-12-31 | Cancelled | Tesla Semi & Roadster Unveil… |
| 2017-11-01 | Tesla China factory starts production in about three years | 2020-11-01 | Delivered | Tesla Q3 2017 earnings call… |
| 2017-09-08 | SpaceX does about 30 launches in 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Missed | SpaceX All-Hands Company Talk… |
| 2017-09-08 | SpaceX approaches one launch every seven days by mid-2019 | 2019-07-31 | Missed | SpaceX All-Hands Company Talk… |
| 2017-08-02 | Tesla hits a 10,000-car week by end of 2018 | 2019-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q2 2017 earnings call, Aug… |
| 2017-07-28 | Three times as many Superchargers by end of 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Model 3 Handover Event… |
| 2017-07-19 | A Falcon booster reflown within 24 hours by 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Missed | ISS R&D Conference (July 19… |
| 2017-07-15 | More than half of new US vehicle production electric within 10 years (by 2027) | 2027-07-15 | Pending | National Governors Association… |
| 2017-07-03 | Model 3 5,000/week by Dec 2017 | 2018-06-30 | Delivered · Late | Musk tweet, Jul 2 2017 |
| 2017-06-06 | Solar Roof Spanish tile and French slate in production by early 2018 | 2018-03-31 | Cancelled | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (June… |
| 2017-06-06 | Model Y hits the roads around 2019 | 2019-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Shareholder Meeting (June… |
| 2017-04-28 | Tesla announces 2-4 new Gigafactory locations later in 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Missed | TED (April 28, 2017), video… |
| 2017-03-10 | Australia's big battery in 100 days or it's free | 2017-12-01 | Delivered | Elon Musk on Twitter, March 10… |
| 2016-11-17 | Solar roof will cost less than a normal roof (2016) | — | Missed | Elon Musk Unveils New Solar Roof… |
| 2016-10-23 | First crewed Mars mission ~12 people | 2029-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk's own Reddit AMA answer… |
| 2016-10-23 | Falcon 9 Block 5 first flight 6–8 months after Oct 2016 (by mid-2017) | 2017-06-30 | Delivered · Late | Reddit AMA: ask me anything about… |
| 2016-10-19 | LA to NYC autonomous drive by end of 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Partial | Recording of the Oct 19 2016… |
| 2016-10-19 | Autopilot Hardware 2 reaches feature parity with Hardware 1 in December 2016 | 2016-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Full Self-Driving Hardware… |
| 2016-09-27 | 1 million people on Mars | 2060-12-31 | Pending | IAC 2016 keynote 'Making Humans a… |
| 2016-07-20 | Tesla Semi unveiled in 2017 (Master Plan, Part Deux) | 2017-09-30 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk, 'Master Plan, Part… |
| 2016-07-20 | Tesla 'urban transport' bus unveiled in 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk, 'Master Plan, Part… |
| 2016-07-20 | Add your Tesla to a shared fleet with one tap (2016) | 2026-12-31 | Pending | Elon Musk, 'Master Plan, Part… |
| 2016-07-20 | 'Machine that builds the machine' v1.0 in 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Cancelled | Elon Musk, 'Master Plan, Part… |
| 2016-06-02 | Humans on Mars | 2036-01-22 | Pending | Code Conference 2016 full… |
| 2016-05-04 | 100,000-200,000 Model 3s built in the second half of 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q1 2016 earnings call… |
| 2016-05-04 | Tesla builds 500,000 cars in 2018 | 2018-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q1 2016 earnings call… |
| 2016-05-04 | Tesla makes close to 1 million vehicles in 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q1 2016 earnings call… |
| 2016-04-27 | Uncrewed Mars landing 2018 | 2026-12-31 | Cancelled | Elon Musk on X, Apr 27 2016… |
| 2016-02-10 | Tesla GAAP-profitable in Q4 2016 | 2016-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2015 earnings call… |
| 2016-01-10 | Summon your Tesla from across the country in ~2 years | 2018-01-10 | Missed | @elonmusk on X, Jan 10 2016 |
| 2015-12-21 | Well over a dozen Falcon 9 launches in 2016 | 2016-12-31 | Missed | Post-Landing Telecon — First… |
| 2015-11-06 | Falcon 9 first stage lands intact within a year (said Nov 2015) | 2016-11-06 | Delivered | Baron Investment Conference… |
| 2015-10-02 | Solar is the single largest source of electricity by mid-century | 2050-12-31 | Pending | Big Think (October 2, 2015)… |
| 2015-09-15 | A Tesla breaks 1,000 km of range by 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Missed | Interview in Denmark (September… |
| 2015-09-02 | Model 3 production starts in about two years (2015) | 2016-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2015-09-02 |
| 2015-08-05 | Tesla makes half a million cars in 2020 | 2020-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q2 2015 earnings call… |
| 2015-05-06 | Model 3 shown in approximately March 2016 | 2016-03-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q1 2015 earnings call… |
| 2015-04-30 | $3,500 Powerwall starts shipping in 3-4 months (2015) | 2015-08-31 | Partial | Tesla Energy / Powerwall keynote… |
| 2015-02-11 | Tesla matches Apple's $700B market cap by 2025 | 2025-02-11 | Delivered | Tesla Q4 2014 earnings call, Feb… |
| 2015-02-11 | Tesla delivers 55,000 cars in 2015 | 2015-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q4 2014 earnings call… |
| 2015-01-13 | Tesla making a few million cars a year within 10 years (by 2025) | 2025-12-31 | Missed | Automotive News World Congress… |
| 2015-01-06 | Mars transport architecture presented around the end of 2015 | 2015-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Reddit AMA: I am Elon Musk… |
| 2014-12-31 | 'Solid metal snake' auto-charger for Tesla cars (2014) | — | Cancelled | Elon Musk on Twitter, Dec 31 2014… |
| 2014-11-05 | Tesla grows at least 50% in 2015 and again in 2016 | 2016-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q3 2014 earnings call… |
| 2014-10-24 | 80-90% odds a Falcon 9 lands and reflies within a year (2014) | 2015-10-24 | Delivered · Late | Elon Musk at the MIT AeroAstro… |
| 2014-07-31 | Tesla exits 2015 making 2,000 cars a week | 2015-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q2 2014 earnings call… |
| 2014-06-03 | Model X volume production in Q2 2015 | 2015-06-30 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Motors 2014 Annual… |
| 2014-06-03 | Highway on-ramp to exit without touching any controls within a year (2014) | 2015-06-03 | Delivered · Late | Tesla 2014 shareholder meeting… |
| 2014-05-16 | Half of all new cars fully autonomous in 7-8 years (by 2022) | 2027-07-15 | Pending | World Energy Innovation Forum… |
| 2014-03-05 | Falcon 9 Air Force (EELV) certification completed in 2014 | 2014-12-31 | Delivered · Late | U.S. Senate Hearing on National… |
| 2013-11-05 | Superchargers cover North America and Europe by end of 2014 | 2014-12-31 | Partial | Tesla Q3 2013 earnings call… |
| 2013-11-05 | Model S China deliveries start Feb 2014 | 2014-03-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q3 2013 earnings call… |
| 2013-08-12 | LA-SF Hyperloop trip in 35 minutes (2013) | 2020-12-31 | Missed | Hyperloop Alpha white paper, Aug… |
| 2013-07-10 | SpaceX unveils its new spacesuit by end of 2013 | 2013-12-31 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2013-07-10 |
| 2013-06-20 | Battery swap stations across Tesla network (2013) | 2013-12-31 | Cancelled | Tesla Battery Swap Full… |
| 2013-04-02 | Tesla reaches at least 25% gross margin by the end of 2013 | 2013-12-31 | Delivered | Interview with Bloomberg (April… |
| 2013-02-27 | Solar a plurality of US power within 20 years (2013) | 2033-02-27 | Pending | TED 2013 — 'The mind behind… |
| 2013-02-27 | Drive LA to New York on Superchargers by end of 2013 | 2013-12-31 | Delivered · Late | TED 2013 — 'The mind behind… |
| 2013-02-26 | Tesla cuts the repayment time on its DOE loan in half | 2018-02-26 | Delivered | ARPA-E Energy Innovation Summit… |
| 2013-02-20 | Tesla delivers more than 20,000 cars in 2013 | 2013-12-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q4 2012 earnings call… |
| 2013-02-20 | Tesla profitable in Q1 2013 | 2013-03-31 | Delivered | Tesla Q4 2012 earnings call… |
| 2012-07-25 | Model S at a 30,000/year run rate by end of 2013 | 2013-12-31 | Missed | Tesla Q2 2012 earnings call… |
| 2012-07-15 | Hyperloop design published in about four weeks (2012) | 2012-08-12 | Delivered · Late | @elonmusk, 2012-07-15 |
| 2012-05-09 | Model S European deliveries start early 2013 | 2013-03-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q1 2012 earnings call… |
| 2012-02-09 | Model S deliveries start no later than July 2012 | 2011-04-30 | Delivered · Late | Tesla (official channel) — 'Tesla… |
| 2011-11-02 | First Supercharger between SF and LA by Jan–Feb 2012 | 2012-02-29 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q3 2011 earnings call… |
| 2011-08-03 | Model X prototype unveiled in mid-December 2011 | 2011-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Tesla Q2 2011 earnings call… |
| 2011-04-22 | SpaceX puts first astronauts in space within ~3 years (2011) | 2011-12-31 | Delivered · Late | The Wall Street Journal (official… |
| 2009-08-11 | Falcon 9 first launch later in 2009 from Cape Canaveral | 2009-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Charlie Rose (August 11, 2009)… |
| 2009-08-11 | Oil approaches $200 a barrel by 2010-2012 | 2012-12-31 | Missed | Charlie Rose (August 11, 2009)… |
| 2009-04-07 | First Dragon flies on Falcon 9 by end of 2009 | 2009-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Churchill Club: An Evening with… |
| 2009-04-07 | Dragon visits the space station for the first time in 2010 | 2010-12-31 | Delivered · Late | Churchill Club: An Evening with… |
| 2003-10-08 | Falcon 1 first launch from Vandenberg around March 2004 | 2004-03-31 | Missed | Stanford Entrepreneurial Thought… |